On October 6, 2007, the Lincoln Journal Star published an article in its HuskerExtra section listing probabilities (click here for a close-up) for the various teams in the Big 12 North to win the north division. In a pretend letter to the author, explain to him what is wrong with his use of probabilities and suggest to him how he might best fix the error. (Here is a link to the text of the story on the inside pages.)