Monday night (the night before the presidential election) pick what you regard as a reputable national poll of the support for both major candidates in the election. In your essay, state what the poll found, what its margin of error was and how big the sample size was. Compare what the poll found with what actually happens on election day. Did the expected candidate win? How close was the poll result to the actual result? If it was not close, why do you think it was not? Did other polls tend to get it right or did many tend to get it wrong? (Here is a Washington Post article by the Post head pollster discussing possible problems with the polls.)

Also address the following question: Are you more or less confident in polling (compared with before you took this course)? Explain.